SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
40.02% ( -0.6) | 24.97% ( 0.07) | 35.01% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.24) | 45.7% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0.23) | 68.02% ( 0.23) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( -0.4) | 22.72% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( -0.6) | 56.39% ( 0.59) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( 0.19) | 25.39% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( 0.26) | 60.2% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.01% |
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