SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | Lugano |
18.35% ( 0.09) | 20.83% ( 0.08) | 60.82% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( -0.24) | 40.63% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.98% ( -0.25) | 63.02% ( 0.25) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( -0.05) | 35.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.53% ( -0.05) | 72.46% ( 0.05) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( -0.13) | 12.93% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.63% ( -0.26) | 39.37% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.35% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 6.79% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 60.82% |
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