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Europa Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stockhorn Arena
HL

Lugano
vs.
HJK Helsinki

 
Coverage of the Europa Conference League League Stage clash between Lugano and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sion 0-0 Lugano
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Next Game: Lugano vs. Winterthur
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Ilves
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for HJK Helsinki has a probability of 32.98% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win is 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).

Result
LuganoDrawHJK Helsinki
43.9% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 23.11% (0.026 0.03) 32.98% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 63.82% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.6% (-0.183 -0.18)37.39% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.38% (-0.196 -0.2)59.61% (0.195 0.2)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)17.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)48% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (-0.155 -0.16)22.63% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74% (-0.229 -0.23)56.26% (0.228 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 43.9%
    HJK Helsinki 32.98%
    Draw 23.11%
LuganoDrawHJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 43.9%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.96% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 32.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sion 0-0 Lugano
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lausanne 1-2 Lugano
Wednesday, September 18 at 6.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-1 St Gallen
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Besiktas 5-1 Lugano
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lugano 3-3 Besiktas
Thursday, August 22 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Partizan
Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Ilves
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: VPS 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Friday, September 20 at 6pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-2 SJK
Saturday, September 14 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: VPS 1-3 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, September 1 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-1 KI
Thursday, August 29 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Inter Turku
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga


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