Though they will not be on home turf, Maccabi Tel Aviv should have enough nous to negotiate the second leg of their third-round tie and progress to the Europa League playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Panevezys win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Panevezys
69.05% ( 0.03)	18.57% ( -0.01)	12.38% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

42.54% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06% (

64.94% (

-0.01)

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.78% (

0.01)

11.21% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.25% (

0.02)

35.75% (

-0.02)

Panevezys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.17% (

-0.03)

44.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.2% (

-0.02)

80.8% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv 69.04%

Panevezys 12.38%

Draw 18.57%

Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Panevezys
2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 69.04%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.57%	0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 12.38%