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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Aukstaitijos stadionas
HL

Panevezys
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Veliulis (17'), Gorobsov (65' pen.), Mbo (67')
Rasimavicius (57'), Dieng (58'), Mbo (88'), Gorobsov (90')
Dieng (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kanellopoulos (55'), Lyons-Foster (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Panevezys 1-1 H. Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ilves 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, July 6 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

We said: Panevezys 1-2 HJK Helsinki

HJK have not won a European away game since beating Maribor in Europa League qualifying in August 2022, but we think that winless run will come to an end when they face a Panevezys side who will be low on confidence after losing four of their previous six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
PanevezysDrawHJK Helsinki
29.32% (-0.105 -0.11) 27.25% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 43.42% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.32% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18% (0.165 0.16)56.82% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (0.133 0.13)77.75% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Panevezys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)71.48% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (0.161 0.16)25.95% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.217 0.22)60.96% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Panevezys 29.32%
    HJK Helsinki 43.42%
    Draw 27.25%
PanevezysDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 12.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 43.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Panevezys 1-1 H. Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: H. Be'er Sheva 1-0 Panevezys
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Milsami 0-1 Panevezys
Thursday, July 20 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Panevezys 2-2 Milsami
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Milsami 2-0 Panevezys
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Panevezys 0-0 Milsami
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ilves 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, July 6 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Mariehamn 1-2 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, June 30 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-1 KuPS
Wednesday, June 19 at 7pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Gnistan 0-4 HJK Helsinki
Wednesday, June 12 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 4-1 SJK
Friday, June 7 at 6pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Oulu 1-0 HJK Helsinki
Friday, May 31 at 6pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga


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