SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Panevezys win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Panevezys |
59.45% ( -0.11) | 22.25% ( 0.04) | 18.31% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( -0.06) | 46.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.06) | 69.2% ( 0.06) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.58% ( -0.05) | 15.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.76% ( -0.11) | 44.24% ( 0.11) |
| Panevezys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.04) | 39.46% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( 0.04) | 76.16% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Panevezys |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.24% | 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.31% |
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