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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 31, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 1
Panevezys

Pululu (12' pen., 69' pen.), Beneta (84' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gussias (87')
Dubra (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panevezys 0-4 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Champions League

We said: Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 Panevezys

Given their significant advantage heading into this one, Jagiellonia can afford to take their foot off the gas a bit but they will be keen to put on a show on home turf. We are tipping the hosts to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Panevezys win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Jagiellonia Bialystok in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawPanevezys
57.52% (0.218 0.22) 22.52% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 19.96% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26% (0.263 0.26)45.74% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (0.25 0.25)68.06% (-0.25 -0.25)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (0.163 0.16)15.64% (-0.165 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.35% (0.306 0.31)44.65% (-0.308 -0.31)
Panevezys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (0.026999999999994 0.03)36.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25% (0.026 0.03)73.74% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 57.52%
    Panevezys 19.96%
    Draw 22.52%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawPanevezys
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.15% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 19.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-3 Jagiellonia
Saturday, July 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Panevezys 0-4 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, July 19 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 H. Tel Aviv
Wednesday, July 17 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Warta Poznan
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Panevezys 0-4 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-1 Panevezys
Tuesday, July 16 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Panevezys 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Tuesday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Panevezys 1-1 H. Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: H. Be'er Sheva 1-0 Panevezys
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Milsami 0-1 Panevezys
Thursday, July 20 at 5pm in Europa Conference League


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