SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.26%) and 3-2 (4.86%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
42.49% ( 0.22) | 21.08% ( 0.09) | 36.44% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 72.89% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.94% ( -0.52) | 26.06% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.71% ( -0.67) | 46.29% ( 0.67) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.51% ( -0.14) | 13.49% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.48% ( -0.27) | 40.52% ( 0.27) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( -0.36) | 15.74% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.15% ( -0.68) | 44.85% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 42.49% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 3% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.08% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.84% Total : 36.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
