SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.34%) and 2-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
36.11% ( -0.83) | 20.33% ( 0.33) | 43.56% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 75.82% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.66% ( -1.82) | 22.34% ( 1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.64% ( -2.53) | 41.36% ( 2.53) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% ( -1.14) | 14.17% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.13% ( -2.28) | 41.87% ( 2.28) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% ( -0.59) | 11.66% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.29% ( -1.28) | 36.71% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.7% Total : 36.11% | 2-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.06% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.32)0-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.38)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.17)3-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.03% Total : 43.56% |
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