SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6%) and 2-3 (5.15%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
30.9% ( 0.41) | 20.56% ( 0.09) | 48.54% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 72.65% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.24) | 25.54% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.38% ( -0.31) | 45.62% ( 0.31) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( 0.09) | 17.98% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.16% ( 0.15) | 48.84% ( -0.15) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.58% ( -0.23) | 11.42% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.8% ( -0.5) | 36.2% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 30.9% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.14% Total : 48.54% |
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