SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.71%) and 3-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
46.52% ( 0.01) | 20.2% ( 0) | 33.27% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 75.33% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.39% ( 0.01) | 22.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.28% ( 0.01) | 41.72% ( -0.01) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.09% ( 0.01) | 10.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.93% ( 0.01) | 35.06% ( -0.01) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( 0.01) | 15.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.71% ( 0.01) | 44.29% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 5.33% 2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)1-0 @ 3.73% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.4% 5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 4.49% Total : 46.52% | 2-2 @ 7.21% 1-1 @ 6.97% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.32% 0-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 1.02% Total : 20.2% | 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.76% Total : 33.27% |
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