SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 10-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
54.26% ( 0.33) | 20.15% ( -0.1) | 25.59% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 69.64% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.35% ( 0.26) | 27.65% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.7% ( 0.32) | 48.3% ( -0.32) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.4% ( 0.17) | 10.6% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.61% ( 0.38) | 34.39% ( -0.38) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( -0.01) | 22.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% ( -0.02) | 55.47% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.26% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.59% |
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