SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Sheffield United |
67.06% ( 0.1) | 17.91% ( -0.02) | 15.02% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.23% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.02% ( -0.08) | 32.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.3% ( -0.09) | 54.7% ( 0.09) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.9% | 9.09% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.1% ( 0) | 30.89% ( -0.01) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( -0.16) | 34.84% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( -0.16) | 71.57% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 4.92% Total : 67.06% | 1-1 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.91% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 15.02% |
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