Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
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