SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 3-1 (5.48%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Manchester United |
44.79% ( -0.25) | 22.07% ( 0.03) | 33.14% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 67.9% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.9% ( -0.05) | 32.1% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.32% ( -0.06) | 53.68% ( 0.06) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.93% ( -0.11) | 15.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.4% ( -0.21) | 43.6% ( 0.21) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( 0.09) | 20.04% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.74% ( 0.15) | 52.26% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 44.79% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.14% |
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