Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Manchester United |
58.25% (![]() | 19.72% (![]() | 22.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.33% (![]() | 29.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.2% (![]() | 50.8% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.77% (![]() | 10.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.44% (![]() | 33.56% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% (![]() | 25.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% (![]() | 60.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Manchester United |
2-1 @ 9.29% (![]() 3-1 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.64% Total : 58.25% | 1-1 @ 8.15% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.47% Total : 19.72% | 1-2 @ 5.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 22.03% |
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