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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 4, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Stamford Bridge
MU

Chelsea
4 - 3
Man Utd

Gallagher (4'), Palmer (19' pen., 90+10' pen., 90+11')
Gusto (32'), Fernandez (35'), Caicedo (90+12')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Garnacho (34', 67'), Fernandes (39')
Maguire (90+13')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Burnley
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawManchester United
58.25% (-0.303 -0.3) 19.72% (0.152 0.15) 22.03% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 66.6% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.33% (-0.556 -0.56)29.67% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.2% (-0.678 -0.68)50.8% (0.681 0.68)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)10.23% (0.245 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.44% (-0.56099999999999 -0.56)33.56% (0.563 0.56)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.203 -0.2)25.81% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (-0.277 -0.28)60.76% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 58.25%
    Manchester United 22.03%
    Draw 19.72%
ChelseaDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.075 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.78% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.03% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.73% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.23% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 58.25%
1-1 @ 8.15% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.64% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 5.52% (0.055 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.58% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 22.03%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Burnley
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-2 Leicester
Sunday, March 17 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Leeds
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 25 at 3pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Man Utd
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-3 Liverpool
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Everton
Saturday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Man Utd
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 1-2 Fulham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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