SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Manchester United |
58.25% ( -0.3) | 19.72% ( 0.15) | 22.03% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 66.6% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.33% ( -0.56) | 29.67% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.2% ( -0.68) | 50.8% ( 0.68) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.77% ( -0.24) | 10.23% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.44% ( -0.56) | 33.56% ( 0.56) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.2) | 25.81% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( -0.28) | 60.76% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.64% Total : 58.25% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.47% Total : 19.72% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 22.03% |
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