Women's FA Cup | Final
May 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
We said: Manchester United Women 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
Tottenham have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent weeks, and we think that they will produce another resolute display to hold Man United to a draw in regulation time.
If the final does go to extra-time and penalties, we think that Spurs will draw upon their success from their last two cup outings to claim their first major trophy.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Ladies |
65.13% ( -0.01) | 18.31% ( 0) | 16.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.56% ( 0.01) |
| 68.27% ( 0.01) | 31.72% ( -0.01) |
| 46.76% ( 0.01) | 53.24% ( -0.01) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| 90.8% ( -0) | 9.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.86% ( -0) | 31.13% |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals |
| 67.79% ( 0.01) | 32.21% ( -0.01) |
