SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 86.94%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 4.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 4-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
86.94% ( -0.01) | 8.83% ( 0.01) | 4.22% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.06) | 23.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.08) | 43.08% ( 0.08) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.45% ( -0.01) | 3.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.6% ( -0.03) | 15.39% ( 0.04) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.06) | 50.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.71% ( -0.04) | 85.29% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
| 3-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 6.25% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 3.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)7-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.44% Total : 86.93% | 1-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 8.83% | 1-2 @ 1.37% 0-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 4.22% |
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