SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 1-0 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies | Draw | Manchester United Women |
19.18% ( -0.31) | 22.33% ( -0.05) | 58.49% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% ( -0.23) | 46% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% ( -0.22) | 68.31% ( 0.22) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% ( -0.47) | 37.94% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.29% ( -0.46) | 74.71% ( 0.46) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( 0.04) | 15.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.78% ( 0.07) | 44.22% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 19.18% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.22% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.49% |
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