SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 57.63%. A win for Birkirkara had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Birkirkara win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Birkirkara |
57.63% ( -0.15) | 20.93% ( 0.05) | 21.44% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.06% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.55% ( -0.11) | 36.45% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.41% ( -0.12) | 58.58% ( 0.12) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( -0.08) | 12.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.46% ( -0.16) | 38.53% ( 0.16) |
| Birkirkara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( 0.03) | 30.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( 0.03) | 66.36% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Birkirkara |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.12% Total : 57.63% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 21.44% |
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