SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Martinique had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Martinique win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Martinique | Draw | Guadeloupe |
31.63% ( -0.97) | 24.58% ( -0.02) | 43.8% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.14% ( -0.27) | 44.86% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.79% ( -0.27) | 67.21% ( 0.27) |
| Martinique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.74) | 27.04% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -0.98) | 62.4% ( 0.99) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.33) | 20.58% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.88% ( 0.52) | 53.12% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Martinique | Draw | Guadeloupe |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.63% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.8% |
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