SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Suriname |
33.01% ( -2.61) | 25.65% ( -0.15) | 41.34% ( 2.75) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( 0.16) | 49.16% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% ( 0.15) | 71.23% ( -0.15) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -1.51) | 28.27% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( -1.95) | 63.98% ( 1.95) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( 1.5) | 23.58% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.35% ( 2.12) | 57.65% ( -2.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Suriname |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.51)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.01% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.39)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)Other @ 2% Total : 41.34% |
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