SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 72.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.72%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Suriname | Draw | Martinique |
72.86% ( -0.11) | 17.22% ( -0.1) | 9.91% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.01% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.77% ( 1.06) | 43.22% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.37% ( 1.04) | 65.62% ( -1.04) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.58% ( 0.26) | 10.42% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.02% ( 0.58) | 33.97% ( -0.58) |
| Martinique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.24% ( 1.11) | 49.76% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.51% ( 0.77) | 84.49% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Suriname | Draw | Martinique |
| 2-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.42)3-0 @ 10% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.08)6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 72.85% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.63% Total : 17.22% | 0-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 9.91% |
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