SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 15.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
64.85% ( -0.93) | 19.62% ( 0.6) | 15.53% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( -1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.79% ( -2.13) | 40.21% ( 2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.42% ( -2.23) | 62.58% ( 2.23) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.33% ( -0.86) | 11.67% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.27% ( -1.88) | 36.74% ( 1.88) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( -0.9) | 38.78% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -0.86) | 75.52% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.61)3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.9% Total : 64.85% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 15.53% |
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