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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.01%) and 0-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
36% ( 0.15) | 22.7% ( 0) | 41.29% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 66.3% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.47% ( 0.01) | 34.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.54% ( 0.02) | 56.46% ( -0.02) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( 0.08) | 19.74% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.23% ( 0.13) | 51.77% ( -0.13) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( -0.06) | 17.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.19% ( -0.1) | 47.81% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.29% |
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