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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 77.34%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 3-0 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
77.34% ( -0.72) | 12.86% ( 0.45) | 9.8% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 63.44% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.08% ( -1.53) | 20.92% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.6% ( -2.17) | 39.4% ( 2.17) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.57% ( -0.39) | 4.43% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.77% ( -1.26) | 18.23% ( 1.26) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.85) | 33.62% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( -0.94) | 70.27% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 3-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 5.86% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.16)5-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.17)6-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.18)6-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.11)4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.09)6-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.12)7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 4.61% Total : 77.34% | 1-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.4% Total : 12.86% | 1-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 9.8% |
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