SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
44.25% ( -0.16) | 24.78% ( -0.02) | 30.98% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 0.18) | 46.05% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( 0.17) | 68.35% ( -0.17) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( 0.01) | 20.87% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% ( 0.01) | 53.58% ( -0) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.21) | 28.05% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( 0.26) | 63.7% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.98% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
