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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.22%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 21.79% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 3-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
58.22% ( -0.31) | 19.98% ( 0.11) | 21.79% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 65.23% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.72% ( -0.28) | 31.27% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.29% ( -0.33) | 52.71% ( 0.33) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.26% ( -0.16) | 10.73% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.31% ( -0.37) | 34.68% ( 0.36) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( -0) | 26.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( -0) | 62.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 58.22% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 21.79% |
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