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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
67.27% ( 0.87) | 17.36% ( -0.13) | 15.37% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.6% ( -0.93) | 29.39% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.54% ( -1.13) | 50.45% ( 1.14) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( -0.06) | 8.11% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.52% ( -0.15) | 28.47% ( 0.15) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -1.46) | 32.05% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% ( -1.69) | 68.52% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.3)1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 67.27% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.36% | 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.89% Total : 15.37% |
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