SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Meppen had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Meppen win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meppen | Draw | Hamburger SV |
13.37% ( 0.09) | 16.47% ( 0.03) | 70.15% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.28% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.35% ( 0.06) | 29.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.24% ( 0.07) | 50.76% ( -0.07) |
| Meppen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( 0.17) | 34.77% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.49% ( 0.17) | 71.5% ( -0.17) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.41% ( -0.01) | 7.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.86% ( -0.03) | 27.13% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meppen | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 13.37% | 1-1 @ 7.18% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.47% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.54% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 5.14% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.65% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.4% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 70.15% |
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