Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 96.97%. A draw had a probability of 2.4% and a win for Meppen had a probability of 0.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (11.84%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.14%), while for a Meppen win it was 0-1 (0.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
