SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Toulouse |
38.49% ( 0.26) | 26.76% ( 0.05) | 34.75% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% ( -0.21) | 53.49% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( -0.18) | 75.01% ( 0.18) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0.05) | 27.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( 0.06) | 62.44% ( -0.06) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.29) | 29.29% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -0.36) | 65.25% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.48% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.75% |
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