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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
N

Metz
3 - 1
Nantes

Van Den Kerkhof (3'), Elisor (28'), Asoro (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simon (12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Metz
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Reims
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 2-2 Nantes

Both sets of players will be hoping for a positive result before the two-week international break and are likely to go all out for the victory in this one. With two of the worst defences in the league on display in this match, a fair bit of goalmouth action at both ends can be expected here, but we feel that these sides will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawNantes
44.96% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 27.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 28% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.41% (-0.164 -0.16)56.58% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (-0.131 -0.13)77.56% (0.12899999999999 0.13)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.117 -0.12)25.07% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.162 -0.16)59.75% (0.158 0.16)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)35.66% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (-0.061 -0.06)72.43% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Metz 44.96%
    Nantes 28%
    Draw 27.03%
MetzDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Metz
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Metz
Sunday, October 22 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Nice
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 3-0 Metz
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Reims
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 4-0 Nantes
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Lorient
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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