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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
M

Metz
0 - 1
Montpellier


Diallo (53'), Udol (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esteve (9')
Jullien (74'), Lecomte (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 0-0 Montpellier HSC

Attacking is not the strong suit of either side, currently separated by two points in the table, with Montpellier in 14th, while Metz have netted two fewer times than their Sunday opponents (15). Combine that with the creative struggles of each, and we expect chances to be at a premium for each team, who are evenly matched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawMontpellier HSC
41.3% (-0.745 -0.75) 26.05% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 32.65% (0.791 0.79)
Both teams to score 53.39% (0.421 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.421 0.42)50.95% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.37 0.37)72.82% (-0.37 -0.37)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-0.191 -0.19)24.39% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)58.81% (0.266 0.27)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.73299999999999 0.73)29.38% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (0.89 0.89)65.36% (-0.89 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Metz 41.3%
    Montpellier HSC 32.65%
    Draw 26.04%
MetzDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Metz
Sunday, December 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Metz
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Brest
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-0 Montpellier
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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