SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Toulouse |
62.9% ( -0.19) | 20.31% ( 0.1) | 16.79% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( -0.3) | 40.94% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( -0.31) | 63.33% ( 0.31) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% ( -0.14) | 12.43% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.66% ( -0.31) | 38.34% ( 0.31) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% ( -0.08) | 37.65% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% ( -0.07) | 74.43% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.79% |
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