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ML
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
RL

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Rotherham

Forss (82')
Hackney (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cafu (59')
Morrison (40'), Johansson (69'), Clucas (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Rotherham United

Should Middlesbrough be able to keep their focus on Saturday's clash amid plenty of excitement surrounding their EFL Cup antics, Boro will be more than good enough to beat Rotherham. The Millers have been harmless on their travels this term, and we cannot envisage that changing at the Riverside, despite the hosts' unprecedented number of absentees. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawRotherham United
62.22% (0.222 0.22) 21.62% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 16.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17% (0.114 0.11)47.83% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (0.104 0.1)70.02% (-0.107 -0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.19% (0.10700000000001 0.11)14.81% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.9% (0.208 0.21)43.1% (-0.209 -0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.39% (-0.109 -0.11)42.6% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.04% (-0.093 -0.09)78.95% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 62.21%
    Rotherham United 16.16%
    Draw 21.62%
MiddlesbroughDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 7.33% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 62.21%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 16.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, January 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, January 6 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-3 Coventry
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-2 Middlesbrough
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Fulham 1-0 Rotherham
Friday, January 5 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Sunderland
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-0 Rotherham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship


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