SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
23.3% ( 0.09) | 24.6% ( 0.08) | 52.1% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( -0.23) | 50.59% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% ( -0.21) | 72.51% ( 0.21) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( -0.05) | 36.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( -0.05) | 73.21% ( 0.06) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( -0.15) | 19.4% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( -0.25) | 51.21% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.09% |
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