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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
SL

Rotherham
0 - 1
Stoke


Eaves (86'), Cafu (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baker (45+4')
Burger (78'), Pearson (90+4'), Thompson (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Stoke City

Rotherham have been a tough nut to crack at the New York Stadium this season, and we are expecting another resolute home display from the Millers as they scrap for survival. Stoke have been much improved since Schumacher replaced Neil last month, but we feel that the Potters will have to settle for a third-straight draw in the Championship this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
23.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 24.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 52.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.231 -0.23)50.59% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (-0.207 -0.21)72.51% (0.211 0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)36.42% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)73.21% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.152 -0.15)19.4% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (-0.252 -0.25)51.21% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 23.3%
    Stoke City 52.09%
    Draw 24.6%
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 52.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fulham 1-0 Rotherham
Friday, January 5 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Sunderland
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-0 Rotherham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-2 Rotherham
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-4 Brighton
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Ipswich
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Stoke
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship


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