Rotherham have certainly been the more impressive of the two teams this season, but Saturday still presents a tough challenge and we lean towards a home win. Chris Wilder has a strong squad at the Riverside Stadium who are bound to come good sooner rather than later, and we see them having too much for a Millers side who may be slightly over-performing thus far, particularly on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Rotherham United
54.81% ( -0.35)	24.65% ( 0.16)	20.54% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 47.59% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.36% (

-0.42)

53.64% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86% (

-0.35)

75.14% (

0.35)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.49% (

-0.3)

19.51% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.61% (

-0.49)

51.39% (

0.49)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.12% (

-0.04)

40.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.55% (

-0.04)

77.45% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 54.8%

Rotherham United 20.54%

Draw 24.65%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.8%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 20.54%