SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
25.17% ( 0.3) | 21.82% ( 0.02) | 53% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( 0.19) | 36.36% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.51% ( 0.21) | 58.49% ( -0.21) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( 0.33) | 27.12% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( 0.43) | 62.51% ( -0.43) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% ( -0.04) | 13.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.7% ( -0.07) | 41.3% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.86% Total : 25.17% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.71% Total : 53% |
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