Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.51%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.56%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mirandes | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
37.51% ( 1.96) | 31.48% ( 0.77) | 31.01% ( -2.74) |
Both teams to score 38.09% ( -2.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.33% ( -2.41) | 69.66% ( 2.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.98% ( -1.59) | 87.02% ( 1.59) |
Mirandes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.09% ( -0.03) | 35.9% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.32% ( -0.03) | 72.68% ( 0.03) |
Sporting Gijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.42% ( -3.44) | 40.58% ( 3.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.82% ( -3.25) | 77.17% ( 3.25) |
Score Analysis |
Mirandes | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
1-0 @ 14.92% ( 1.27) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.51% | 0-0 @ 14.56% ( 1.24) 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.47% | 0-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.63) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.39) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.33% Total : 31.01% |
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