Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
