SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 45.27%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Mirandes |
45.27% ( 0.15) | 28.83% ( 0.04) | 25.9% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.09% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.33% ( -0.2) | 63.67% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.05% ( -0.14) | 82.95% ( 0.14) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( -0.02) | 28.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( -0.02) | 63.9% ( 0.02) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.62% ( -0.27) | 41.39% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.1% ( -0.24) | 77.9% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 14.77% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 45.27% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.22% Total : 25.9% |
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