SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
36.82% ( -0) | 29.26% ( 0.04) | 33.91% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.07% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.23% ( -0.13) | 62.76% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.7% ( -0.1) | 82.3% ( 0.1) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( -0.07) | 32.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.81% ( -0.08) | 69.19% ( 0.08) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( -0.1) | 34.57% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.7% ( -0.1) | 71.3% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 33.91% |
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