Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Sporting Gijon
36.82% ( -0)	29.26% ( 0.04)	33.91% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 44.07% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.23% (

-0.13)

62.76% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.7% (

-0.1)

82.3% (

0.1)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

-0.07)

32.64% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

-0.08)

69.19% (

0.08)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42% (

-0.1)

34.57% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7% (

-0.1)

71.3% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Mirandes 36.82%

Sporting Gijon 33.91%

Draw 29.25%

Mirandes	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.82%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.25%	0-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 33.91%