SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Mirandes |
56.15% ( 0.15) | 23.88% ( -0.06) | 19.96% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( 0.13) | 51.36% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( 0.11) | 73.18% ( -0.12) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( 0.1) | 18.13% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.91% ( 0.18) | 49.09% ( -0.18) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.81% ( -0.02) | 40.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.18% ( -0.02) | 76.82% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.29% Total : 19.96% |
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