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League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
SC

MK Dons
3 - 1
Salford City

Lofthouse (27'), Gilbey (31'), Smith (45+7' og.)
Williamson (21'), Bate (74'), Harrison (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Smith (12')
McLennan (20'), Smith (54'), McAleny (71'), Vassell (74'), Lund (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSalford City
57.49% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02) 21.02%21.49% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (0.013999999999996 0.01)36.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02)58.94% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)12.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.83% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)30.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.029000000000003 0.03)66.53% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 57.49%
    Salford City 21.49%
    Draw 21.02%
MK DonsDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 57.49%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 21.49%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 4-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Colchester
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 5-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 5-3 Barrow
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two


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