SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City |
43.63% ( -0.27) | 23.37% ( 0.06) | 32.99% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 62.86% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.33% ( -0.23) | 38.66% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.03% ( -0.24) | 60.97% ( 0.24) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( -0.21) | 18.12% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.93% ( -0.35) | 49.07% ( 0.34) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( 0.01) | 23.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( 0.02) | 57.14% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.99% |
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