SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
43.5% ( -2.18) | 23.08% ( 0.07) | 33.42% ( 2.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.11% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.91% ( 0.54) | 37.09% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.71% ( 0.58) | 59.28% ( -0.58) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( -0.64) | 17.54% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.93% ( -1.13) | 48.07% ( 1.13) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( 1.45) | 22.25% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( 2.14) | 55.69% ( -2.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.18)Other @ 4.02% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.38% Total : 33.42% |
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