Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
0.33) 
-0.14) 
