Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
-0.81) 
1.1) 
