SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.03%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 21.16% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 3-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Lillestrom |
59.03% ( 0) | 19.81% ( 0.01) | 21.16% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.89% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.69% ( -0.05) | 31.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.25% ( -0.07) | 52.75% ( 0.07) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% ( -0.02) | 10.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.75% ( -0.04) | 34.25% ( 0.04) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.04) | 27.47% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% ( -0.05) | 62.96% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.39% 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 59.03% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.81% | 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.55% Total : 21.16% |
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